Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.592028 4.145425 4.753076 5.469464 6.290660 7.202302 8.290920
2025-01-12 2.779803 3.493514 4.343162 5.427953 6.775103 8.392128 10.479892
2025-01-19 2.107846 2.855194 3.810221 5.117532 6.858191 9.093908 12.181976
2025-01-26 1.804830 2.612684 3.711793 5.311673 7.576384 10.662796 15.184587
2025-02-02 1.620814 2.490705 3.742642 5.667972 8.546331 12.681228 19.064065
2025-02-09 1.413094 2.294174 3.629376 5.788836 9.182324 14.296831 22.575839
2025-02-16 1.234282 2.108325 3.497473 5.850865 9.722468 15.819742 26.127593
2025-02-23 1.047758 1.877436 3.256445 5.696585 9.886735 16.762047 28.865184
2025-03-02 0.876970 1.644147 2.974317 5.426577 9.810716 17.286536 30.955002
2025-03-09 0.782127 1.529135 2.875977 5.454849 10.239812 18.693033 34.695748
2025-03-16 0.679352 1.382967 2.700201 5.315851 10.344955 19.535392 37.521691
2025-03-23 0.645337 1.363302 2.754483 5.610405 11.282752 21.973178 43.537035
2025-03-30 0.599824 1.316550 2.755508 5.812400 12.089925 24.300868 49.706165
2025-04-06 0.540148 1.231344 2.668630 5.827002 12.529843 25.980071 54.828194
2025-04-13 0.460063 1.089466 2.445175 5.526945 12.285920 26.276472 57.207398
2025-04-20 0.434314 1.064907 2.467554 5.756026 13.187464 29.009938 64.966736
2025-04-27 0.423092 1.072192 2.560634 6.153681 14.506141 32.768698 75.359860
2025-05-04 0.394198 1.032526 2.541517 6.292007 15.259637 35.393185 83.573369
2025-05-11 0.364031 0.984879 2.496915 6.363644 15.866898 37.760245 91.481811
2025-05-18 0.323670 0.904635 2.362474 6.198683 15.889935 38.799131 96.438124
2025-05-25 0.281772 0.813367 2.187423 5.906881 15.562156 38.973989 99.348794
2025-06-01 0.260437 0.774718 2.141143 5.938400 16.047342 41.143170 107.354794
2025-06-08 0.233212 0.715101 2.031515 5.787869 16.044722 42.116954 112.497987